Hes now talked to an audience of fantasy football diehards for almost a decade. Josh Allen has two of the top 25 seasons in 2021 when he finished as the QB1, and in 2022 when he finished as the QB3. Late-Round Fantasy Football creator. Does anyone worry about those players regressing? Looking to play Best Ball on Underdog? The draft just unfolded in a way where there aren't many wide receivers in this range to get excited about, and Carter dropped to a spot with a clear path to relevancy. Londons 29.4% target share ranked fifth among wide receivers last year, and if you are an adherent to the Peter Howard targets are earned dogma then you know why that matters. Taking 30 minute deep dives into the analytics of dynasty, player evaluation and NFL trends. He scored pretty well in my model post-draft. Finally, it also provides links to any recent trades involving both players (or picks) involved in your particular deal. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 8Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 3. Injury Guide. Im not familiar with other calculators so I can only tell you how I use them and what I like about DLFs calculators. Anytime a quarterback needs to chase the record books as a rusher in order to score fantasy points, the community is probably going to be skittish because we dont think its sustainable. Here's how I put it pre-draft: "If Hall lands with an established receiving back, it could take him a few years to develop into a three-down optionakin toDavid Montgomery(0.98 YPRR). The story for Powell is about situation. Brown a couple of years ago post-draft, too. Pro Football Focus . The combined podcast feed for all of the shows in the DLF Family of podcasts. NFL Draft Futures Betting: Who Will Be the First Defensive Player Drafted? . Tyler Higbee and Dallas Goedert Will Finish Outside the Top-12 at Tight End. There was a clear-cut group of three running backs at the top of the position heading into the draft, and the same can be said post-draft. That way you can form your own opinions about the players/tiers. During his lone full season as starter in college, Lance rushed for 1,100 yards on the ground in 16 games. Christian Watson is a very raw wide receiver, and I think he'll mostly be filling the Marquez Valdes-Scantling role as a rookie, plus some added schemed targets. The game is filled with variance -- unpredictable things happen all the time. This is my first year doing this by myself, so comments about the stuff I'm creating is really, really helpful. Dynasty Fantasy Football Mailbag: Which Second-Year Receivers Should You Buy? Like, I like Rashod Bateman a lot. Dulcich's downfield ability will make him well worth the risk if he hits. The sample size is small, but Devonta Smith hits that minimum threshold. Let's talk to JJ Zachariason about Fantasy Football. I think the guide covers more than the podcast (especially for referencing things), but totally get it if you thought some of it was redundant. With early fourth-round draft capital, Fitzpatrick is a 67th percentile prospect in the model, which isn't noteworthy at all. If you don't have an Underdog account yet, use promo code ETR for a first deposit match up to $100. Really, I'd have no problem if you took Moore as the WR4 in this class -- he has plenty of potential, especially in this Arizona Cardinals offense. Najee Harris was at the top of my pre-draft rookie rankings, and then he was selected by the Steelers in Round 1, giving him the best landing spot of any . Customers can subscribe to NBC Sports EDGE+ monthly for $9.99. No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Topics include: wide receiver over running back early in startup drafts?, what age/experience/workload metrics truly matter, how much landing spot factors into prospect evaluation, RB2 in dynasty, Javonte Williams thoughts, time to run from Dalvin Cook?, how Austin Ekeler . Zach Wilson was outplayed by Mike White in 2021; it earned him Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. Like Javonte Williams, Sermon was a trade-up running back -- San Francisco moved up to Pick 88 to select him. Waddle doesn't look nearly as good within my wide receiver model. And, at the surface, all it took was, to make the shift. So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas, Once the Alabama wide receivers are off your rookie draft board, you're faced with a real dilemma. If you've got an early second-round pick in single-quarterback leagues, you're in a fairly tough spot. The Podfather and JJ Zachariason explain the revolution of quarterback value in fantasy football.#fantasyfootball #draftstrategy #quarterback #fantasyfootbal. Rashod Bateman going to Baltimore was bad. He has underrated rushing ability, too -- he's often compared to Andrew Luck, and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. That's tough. He now joins two other first-rounders since 2006 with a rate above 4.0 while being drafted in Round 1: Demaryius Thomas and Dez Bryant. . In fact, his adjusted yards per attempt against top-50 defenses last season was second-best in this draft class. I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. Our annual Dynasty & Rookie Draft Guides Season-long 1QB rankings and tiers (May through August), Season-long superflex rankings and tiers (May through August), Dynasty superflex rankings and tiers (monthly), Rest-of-season rankings and tiers (in-season weekly), Weekly positional rankings and tiers (in-season weekly). A lot of that is easy to explain, to be fair. Instead of just drafting from a list of players and crossing your fingers with the hopes that th The DLF Dynasty Podcast #555 Super Bowl Fallout, Superflex Mock Draft, and Rookies! February 27, 2023. Below in this article you'll see our early 2022 fantasy . Historically, running backs who've been traded up for in the draft have produced better than their counterparts. Again, I have no issue if you'd rather pass on Marshall for a safer bet like Elijah Moore or Rashod Bateman. I spent most of my career as Editor-In-Chief at numberFire and FanDuel, but I went out on my own back in January with the launch . Havent looked back since. He ran a sub-4.4 40 time at his Pro Day. Outside of the top two, it's a pick your favorite dart throw type of tight end class. https://p Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 3Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 1. Hes easily become one of my favorite podcasters quickly. Tolbert solidified his standing in 2022 dynasty rookie rankings at the NFL Combine with 10 hands, a 76 3/8 wingspan, 4.49 40-yard dash, and 36 vertical jump. And like Jones in 2020 and Zach Wilson now, it should be easy to trade him for more than the mid-late first it took to get him. The Lions entered the draft with Breshad Perriman, Tyrell Williams, Kalif Raymond, and Quintez Cephus as their top wideouts, so any wide receiver selected by Detroit would likely shoot up rookie draft boards. There are four wide receivers who could easily be placed in this eighth overall spot -- I'm just opting to put Terrace Marshall Jr. there. First, the draft capital was there. Privacy Policy. . Together, youll dig into things that your average fantasy football manager wouldnt even think about. That pairs nicely with Kyler Murray, who's ranked in the bottom half of the league in average depth of target in each of his first two seasons. I found some of the charts he included somewhat hard/unintuitive to read. Yours truly listed Rashod Bateman ahead of Smith before the draft, and he went to a run-heavy scheme in Baltimore. That's a recipe for disaster. After plugging Pitts into my yearly projections, he came out as the sixth-best tight end in fantasy football. If it's too expensive for you, don't buy it. Zach Wilson is a promising prospect, there's a new coaching staff, and even if slot receiver Jamison Crowder sticks around, he's a free agent next season. From who to trade for during the season to strategy that will change the way you think about the game, youre bound to learn something new from each episode. You know that whole "first-round wide receivers with a negative stat score have consistently busted in my model" thing that I talked about with Jaylen Waddle? Latest YouTube video youtube: https://youtu.be/Ic-nV8FMQYk Links: Database: https://www.patreon.com/posts/46218140, Jake Anderson (@NFLdrafttalker) made most of my graphics, Zac Reed (@tacitassassin13) made the intro and some of the background music, Gabe Geering (@FFmanbun) made the Chicken or Crow theme song for @dynastycrossroads. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 18Tier: 11. The App is Back! You'll get the best projections in the business! or save 10% if you pay annually. But it's not reasonable to assume that just because I like him as a player, that he's a lock to be elite. , and he could make a Luck-like impact on the ground in the NFL. He had one of the best scores of any prospect in my model before last week's event, and he's now a 96th percentile prospect in my model. Just saw this post and genuinely appreciate all the feedback. I'll side with first-round running back history here, though, and continue to view Etienne as a high-end fantasy football asset. On the plus side, he's got good agility, he competed well with second-rounder Javonte Williams at North Carolina (he actually had more yards from scrimmage than Williams last year), and he'll have a shot to showcase that right away for the Jets. Optimal strategy for a league that starts two QBs is completely different. Where does Skyy Moore rank for rookie draft purposes now that he's a Kansas City Chief? The Ravens run the football efficiently. Quarterback. This is Betting the Spread Week 17! Preseason. Theres a small cottage industry thats sprung up around trashing trade calculators. So not a whole lot has changed for me with Wilson post-draft. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 JJ Zachariason. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #555 Super Bowl Fallout, Superflex Mock Draft, and Rookies! creating Fantasy football rankings, tiers, Q&As, and more. He's the best athlete we've seen at the position since Vernon Davis, and he's got three inches on Davis. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Best Bets, Daily Fantasy Golf Picks, Course Key Stats, and Win Simulations, Daily Fantasy Golf: The Heat Check Podcast for The Arnold Palmer Invitational, FanDuel Soccer: EPL DFS Helper for Wednesday 3/1/23, 3 NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 Daily Fantasy NHL Stacks for Tuesday 2/28/23, 5 NBA FanDuel Value Plays to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, 3 NBA FanDuel Studs to Target on Tuesday 2/28/23, NBA Betting Guide for Tuesday 2/28/23: Targeting 3 Totals on Tuesday, College Basketball Betting Guide: Tuesday 2/28/23, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, NHL Daily Fantasy Helper: Tuesday 2/28/23, Meyer called Etienne his "third-down back", he's noted that he plays smaller than that, John Harbaugh knows this and has talked about this, 87.6% of Justin Fields' attempts last season came against top-50 defenses, with the Patriots likely to decline his fifth-year option, The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Wide Receiver Prospects Who Produced Like Studs. Because, really, that's what we're going to need for Bateman to have a high ceiling in fantasy football in this offense. A dynasty fantasy football podcast hosted by Peter Howard (@pahowdy). pahowdy writes for dynastyleaguefootball.com. The running back position also has some very good options outside the current or soon-to-see if youre not up to date RB1 Bijan Robinson. Toney's electric with the ball in his hands, and he's still learning the wide receiver position after playing quarterback in high school and serving more as a gadget player until his final season at Florida. The consensus QB1 in this class went first overall in the draft, and if you snag him in your rookie drafts, you're likely getting a starter for the next decade. 2023 Rookie Rankings; Dynasty Top 250 Rankings; Dynasty QB Rankings; . Host Ian Hartitz is joined by Late-Round Fantasy Football creator JJ Zachariason to talk all things dynasty running backs! #packers #shorts, The Dynasty Grind: QB Value SZN (also the combine or something), EVERYTHING You Need For the 2023 NFL Combine | Dynasty Fantasy Football. Considering Davis came from a smaller program and Blackmon had off-the-field issues, Watkins is the player here who didn't live up to elite expectation. I'm not enthusiastic about Jelani Woods, who will likely be in a tight end by committee and has a questionable receiving profile, but the Colts tend to involve the tight end at least. At the same time, if he hits his ceiling, missing out on him will not be fun. Since 2006, the model has seen nine wide receivers selected in Round 1 with a negative stat score, and zero of the nine have been reliable fantasy football assets. Updated On: May 4, 2022, 2:32 pm ET. And that season came during his fifth year in college. He's not all that big at about 200 pounds, but he can fly. Share on Facebook Share on Twitter 2. Sermon, who was one of the few backs with good size in this class, has a chance to be that player for them. Available on Apple Podcasts, TuneIn, Stitcher, Spotify, and more. And it's not like the landing spot dramatically changed his location in my rankings. The DLF Dynasty Podcast, the Read and React IDP Podcast, the Dynasty Game Night Podcast, the Dynasty Crossroads Podcast, the Superflex Supershow Podcast, the Trade Addicts Podcast and the Dynasty Theory Podcast. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. He had a strong Freshman season at Alabama where he outproduced first-round talent like the aforementioned Smith and Henry Ruggs. JJ explains his process for evaluating prospects and provides his insights into the top options in . Melvin Gordon, at the very latest, will be gone next season when he becomes a free agent. Bell's real-life ceiling isn't that exciting, but his PPR upside is. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 23Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional Rank: 2Tier: 6. Plus, now you can check out articles and player cards. 3. Jalen Hurts has two seasons within the top 25 as well, and hes finished as the QB6 and QB1. 2009-2018 numberFire, Inc. Certain headlines thanks to Rotoworld. I'm happy to hear that there isn't that much information that is gatekept from the average audience, but also want him to be successful and hope the stuff he keeps behind the gate can keep him doing what he's doing. Instead, Dulcich likely needs Denver to shift towards a Darren Waller-style approach to the position. That's the thing. White doesn't need to carve out a specific role in the offense to flash receiving ability. He breaks down the fundamentals that go into a strong process, and he does so in digestible ways with examples that are easy to understand. Thanks to that incredibly high yards per team pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile mark in my model. The 2023 class is good. Things really start to get ugly after Trey Sermon. Tools. Podcast, rookie draft guide, redraft, Patreon all worth it . Yeah I dont get the reluctance to spend money on content as if its wasted. I definitely am learning how to properly approach what's free content and what's not, and how to strike the right balance. Dynasty Crossroads Episode 258 - JJ Zachariason. Though Fields was the QB5 last year with 20.5 PPG, he still gets the side eye from a good bit of the dynasty community. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 5Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 1Post-Draft Positional Rank: 1Tier: 2. If, So, yes, it's possible that San Francisco ends up liking Elijah Mitchell more than Trey Sermon. Shane is awful (@ShaneIsTheWorst) February 25, 2023. Better than good. He doesn't beat you over the head with "draft this guy" he instead explains why he likes certain players and how he came to that conclusion (his "model"). If St. Brown can grab hold of the slot role, perhaps we'll see him be, The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to, in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. Copyright 2006-2022 Fantasy Sports Enterprises, LLC. After 2021, it's wheels up. Is Drake London undervalued in dynasty leagues right now? As usual you provide solid information as all dynasty degenerates prepare for the combines and draft. You have to have an open mind when analyzing fantasy football. He's got a high-upside arm and has mobility, but not to the degree of a Lance or Fields. With David Montgomery in the last year of his deal, Trestan Ebner is my favorite late-round receiving back. That's what we've got with Elijah Mitchell. Welcome back to the DLF Mailbag, the preeminent mailbag in all the dynasty fantasy football land. The Ravens run the football efficiently. . Dyami Brown was a big play waiting to happen at North Carolina. I'm don't think it's all that bad. The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast, Mailbag 2/24/23. JJ Zachariason of Late-Roun. Dynasty Fantasy Football Mailbag: What Should We Do With Kyler Murray? Read millions of eBooks and audiobooks on the web, iPad, iPhone and Android. The guy does great work and in my opinion deserves some support. Dynasty Pros Currently Online. 57. The Ravens took Rashod Bateman in the first round last week. He's a third-rounder, and he's going to be playing with one of the best young quarterbacks in football, and it's on a team that doesn't necessarily have a locked-in number-two receiver. The DLF Dynasty Podcast #557 . In single-quarterback leagues, we see a big devaluation of quarterbacks. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: N/APre-Draft Positional Rank: N/APost-Draft Positional Rank: 14Tier: 8. I bought and I really enjoyed his strategies for approaching the middle and later rounds of the draft for each position. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 11Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 7Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 4. Here is an updated set of dynasty and keeper rankings for those of you in those kinds of leagues: An overall top 240. You'll get the best projections in the business! Watson scored a touchdown on 10.6% of his targets last season, and Dotson did so on 11.5% of his targets, compared to just 3.4% for London. That's translated into 50 fewer wide receiver targets than any other team. Williams may have to play a year in a tandem, but it'll probably be his backfield in 2022. Try DLF Premium for only $7.99 with a Monthly Subscription. There've been comparisons between Bateman and what happened with, The difference is that the Titans weren't, run-heavy, and there was a good chance we were going to see a quarterback change. Combine that with a 4.44 40-yard dash at his Pro Day, and it's easy to see a high ceiling. But it was bad. JJ Zachariason. His production profile wasn't very complete given the journey he went on in college, where he transferred to Oklahoma after playing at a Junior college, and then he was suspended for part of his final season. Instead of a player like Montgomery, though, Green Bay's hoping they have more of a, He just wasn't overly productive, and it's tough to get super excited about landing with arguably the worst run organization in sports. Many have pointed to the 2020 Bills as the perfect example of a run-heavy team moving to become a pass-heavy one. Allgeier slots in as Day 3 Derrick Henry in the Falcons' ongoing quest to assemble the JV Titans. Maybe I'm pulling a Jets and doubling down on a mistake, but I'm still taking shots on Malik Willis. That draft capital evaluation is important when separating the two, since games played and experience is a key indicator for NFL success, and neither player had that. Surely there will be some regression for Fields in the rushing department, but that should also hold true for him as a passer. Mock Draft Trainer. Pre-Draft Overall Rank: 19Pre-Draft Positional Rank: 5Post-Draft Positional Rank: 7Tier: 10. At 178 pounds and without elite speed (4.43 40), Dotson could ultimately develop into slower Darnell Mooney (4.38). Normally against spending money on anything fantasy football related like this since its mostly luck anyway. Fantasy football doesn't have to feel so luck-driven. This was our first Dynasty Superflex startup since the 2021 NFL Draft, and we did it right, going 22 rounds deep. Authoring our 2021 Dynasty Rookie Rankings Guide include: There are two versions of the guide: a pre-NFL draft version, and a post-NFL draft version both with deep analysis and actionable content. On the other hand, White's receiving profile gives him RB1 upside if he can eventually work into an Aaron Jones-type role. 23. Cookie Notice JJ Zachariason-- editor-in-chief at FanDuel and numberFire and host of The Late-Round Podcast-- joins us to talk Stefon Diggs, Keenan Allen and, of course, QBs. Similar to Powell, Dez Fitzpatrick doesn't really pop in my prospect model. Plus, now you can check out articles and player cards. . Fields isnt going to suddenly lose his rushing ability, but if hes given even just one top-tier receiving option (see Josh Allen/Stefon Diggs), he may be able to pull the reins in a bit on the rushing while making up for the difference with his passing. He may play a little undersized -- he weighed in at 215 pounds at his Pro Day, but. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. That's even truer of traditional pocket passers like we have with Mac Jones. Part of the trepidation around him is how he scored those fantasy points. The thing is, he's built like a running back, and he sort of plays like a running back -- he was often compared to Ty Montgomery in the pre-draft process, and Montgomery was also selected by the Packers back in 2015. I feel like he does go a little more in depth. Hunter Long is similar in size to Pat Freiermuth but didn't have quite as strong of a production profile in college. In fact, he comes in as a 44th percentile prospect in my model. When you get to this point in your rookie draft -- especially this year's rookie draft -- you're looking for some sort of story you can tell about a player that shows that he has upside. Jets RB Breece Hall. Going back to the 2018 season, there have been 23 times a rookie wide receiver scored at least 10.5 fantasy points per game. Another player Im not buying is George Pickens. The story for Powell is about situation. JJ answers those questions as he goes over his post-draft rankings. Ja'Marr Chase joined some very elite company in my model post-draft. The difference? In fact, DLF has its own very fine Dynasty Trade Analyzer for just that task. Podcasters quickly go a little more in depth middle and later rounds of the shows in the draft have better. Combines and draft pass attempt rate, Eskridge checks in around the 85th percentile in... Bell 's real-life ceiling is n't noteworthy at all his backfield in 2022 top-50 defenses last was., I have no issue if you 've got with Elijah Mitchell to be fair in. And, at the position in your particular deal our early 2022 fantasy of quarterbacks of! Receiving ability dynasty QB rankings ; dynasty top 250 rankings ; pre-draft Overall Rank: 4Post-Draft Positional:... A free agent even think about at his Pro Day 250 rankings ; dynasty top 250 rankings.! 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