Market data provided by Factset. Johnson won his first Senate race in 2010, unseating Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold. Barnes is tied with Johnson in the head-to-head, a sign of Barnes' latest strength and indicating serious weakness on the part of the 11-year incumbent. In Wisconsin 's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. The. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. He said clerks have been legally free to interpret the term in good faith, drawing on non-binding guidance from the Wisconsin Elections Commission, its predecessors and advice from attorneys. ", Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., speaks to supporters after arriving at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. Lasry, Mandela's next leading opponent in the Democratic senate primary, does not beat Johnson in a head to head. Johnson has outperformed polls before, but political experts note added challenges this election cycle. Baldwin was first elected to the Senate in 2012 and took office in January 2013. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. Barnes has seen a decline in the polls over recent months after facing a slew of attack ads depicting him as soft on crime. The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. Hungry? U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. . After Barnes won an all but uncontested U.S. Senate Democratic primary in August, the lieutenant governor led Johnson by 7 percentage points in Marquette polling. Wisconsin Lt. Gov. A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. The Democrat became the state's first Black lieutenant governor when he took office in 2019. Wisconsin Mandela Barnes (D) vs. Ron Johnson (R) What do the House races . The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates both the Senate and gubernatorial races as toss-ups. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. | Morry Gash/Associated Press. Among all registered voters surveyed, it's a much closer race. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. MIDTERM STUDY FINDS MAINSTREAM MEDIA GAVE REPUBLICANS 87% MORE NEGATIVE COVERAGE THAN DEMOCRATS. Lt. Mandela Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate former Vice President Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee for president at the 2020 Democratic National Convention at the . This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, Only 16 percent had an unfavorable view of the Democratic lieutenant governor, compared with 46 percent who said the same of the GOP senator. According to OpenSecrets, Johnson raised $31.5 million, spent $28 million, and had $3.5 million in cash on hand, as of October 19. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Johnson maintained a conservative voting record during his two terms in the Senate. Barnes sought to portray himself as a stronger advocate of the state's working-class citizens. The race was one of the most expensive election contests in the country, according to a firm that tracks political spending. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. He's also been a leading skeptic of COVID-19 vaccines making false or misleading claims about the shots. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. Heres how you can help. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a two-term incumbent, is leading Barnes, the states lieutenant governor, among likely voters by 6 percentage points 52% to 46%. This week . 2022 #WISen General Election Poll: Mandela Barnes (D) 43% Ron Johnson (R-Inc) 43% @claritycampaign / @TheOtherMandela (D) Internal ~ 756 LV ~ 9/8-9/11 https://t.co/OXfsRBbJJX Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. Timothy Nerozzi is a writer for Fox News Digital. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. RealClearPolitics - Election 2022 - Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. He is someone who cares about people like me." Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. The 2018 Wisconsin gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. A survey conducted by Marquette Law School from June 14 to 20 showed Johnson behind the Democratic challenger by 2 points. The race between Johnson and Barnes was rated as "tilt Republican" by Inside Elections, a "toss-up" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Republican" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. Stay up to date with what you want to know. The latest poll shows that among registered voters, Evers is leading Michels 46% to 41%, with Beglinger at 7%. "There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. Home; News. as well as other partner offers and accept our. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. "Truth has prevailed over lies and the politics of personal destruction. Mandela Barnes. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Adam Edelman is a political reporter for NBC News. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. Anna Moneymaker/Gabriela Bhaskar/Getty Images, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. Show us your political mailers! This year, Johnson is the only incumbent Republican senator running for reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. Reach her at caitlin.yilek@cbsinteractive.com. AP Photo/Mike Roemer, "We've looked very closely at the numbers," said Johnson. This race is over," Johnson said in the statement. The poll surveyed 803 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percent. As a senator, Johnson co-sponsored theLife at Conception Act enshrining a right to life or the right to life of each born and preborn human person in the Constitution and allowing equal protections at the moment of fertilization. However, he also said during the campaign that he would support a recently offered proposal to create a single-issue referendum that would allow Wisconsin voters to decide on the future of abortion rights in the state. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. ", In response to the August polls, a spokesperson for Barnes' campaign said in a statement that the results show that "Wisconsin voters know how Ron Johnson has spent his decade-plus in office enriching himself and his wealthy donors on the backs of their hard work.". Fox News's Bradford Betz contributed to this report. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. The margin of error was 4.2 percentage points overall and 4.5 percentage points among likely voters. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Incumbent Sen. RonJohnson(R-Wis.) and Democratic challenger MandelaBarnes are neck and neck in Wisconsins Senate race, according to a new CNN poll. Mandela Barnes, is the choice of 48%. I will do everything I can to help make things better for Wisconsinites and to heal and unify our country," he continued. The poll from Marquette Law School suggests Johnson, a. Barnes has citedformer President Barack Obama as his inspiration for entering politics. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. The Democratic candidate hasn't found a way to respond to Senator Ron Johnson's attacks on crime, and is foundering in the polls as a result. While Barnes quickly became a favorite among Democrats before winning the August primary, Lee said the lieutenant governor is still relatively unknown to the state as a whole. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Barnes has a 51%-44% lead over Johnson in the Wisconsin Senate race, per a new Marquette Law poll. "No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will become the Democratic Party's nominee to face off against GOP Senator Ron Johnson in November after his top opponents dropped out and endorsed his campaign this weekwith polls suggesting the liberal candidate has a slim advantage. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. Michels may have made gains among likely independent voters from September's poll, with 44% now saying they supported him and 43% saying they supported Evers. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. In the states race for governor, Democratic Gov. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Barnes, 35, has seen his chances of unseating Sen. Johnson shrink by the day as crime becomes the central focus of their Senate race Barnes focused much of his closing message hammering Johnson over his opposition to abortion rights an issue Democrats across the country had hoped would energize their base in the midterms following the Supreme Courts reversal of Roe v. Wade in June. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. National media reports say the red wave that Republicans hoped for in this years midterm elections has been downgraded to more of a trickle. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of Wisconsin, leads Johnson 51% to 44%, up from a narrow two-point lead he held in June, when polls showed Barnes had the support of 46% voters in. (Photo by Three Lions/Hulton Archive/Getty Images) OAN Deven BerryhillUPDATED 6:45 PM PT - Monday, February 27, 2023 A well-known British newspaper recently . Johnson got a boost from voters'. Recent polling shows Lt. Gov. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. That number had fallen to 9 percent in Marquette's Aug. 17 poll. On two large screens, the audience at the Johnson event quietly watched Fox News election coverage and let out loud groans and boos when Democrats were projected to win other high-profile federal races. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsin's Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. "But what I will say, unfortunately, it's still so close. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. However, in 2016 former President Donald Trump narrowly carried the state with a margin of about 0.7 percent. "That's how close we should assume the race will be, regardless of the specificity of those numbers. When Johnson first ran for public office in 2010 and even during his first reelection bid, Chergosky said many voters hadn't yet formed an opinion. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Throughout the 2022 campaign cycle, Marquette polling showed a majority of respondents in Wisconsin had a negative view of Johnson. Legal Statement. The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. In his order, Judge Juan Colas wrote that Wisconsin elections have been conducted for 56 years without a legally binding definition of what constitutes a witness address on a ballot. In an eight-candidate field, where several rivals were still actively campaigning, Barnes won more than 77 percent of the vote. Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations Senate group wades into tough talks on Social Security, Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Zero-calorie sweetener popular in keto diets linked to strokes, heart attacks. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson defeated Democratic Lt. Gov. ", Lee said the value of political polling in Wisconsin has become less predictable as the state has become more "deep purple.". making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Johnson did not respond to the Pulse's request to participate in the questionnaire. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes is maintaining a slight edge over Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson just more than two months from the November election. The Associated Press called the race for Johnson at 11:46 a.m. Wednesday as the senator led Barnes by 27,374 votes. Johnson got a boost from voters' concerns about crime and economic issues, while Barnes had strong support from voters who saw abortion as one of the top issues. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Although Wisconsin's primary won't take place until August 9, Barnes, who was already leading in the polls, is all but guaranteed to secure the Democratic nomination. More from. Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. Lt. Gov. In September, Evers led among independents 45% to 39%. Fully 50 percent of voters said the statement "does not describe" the senator, and just 39 percent said it described him correctly. The bill passed 80-15 with many Democrats and all but one Republican voting "yes." Mandela Barnes joined radical Democrats like David Bowen and Jonathan Brostoff in refusing to protect cops, public defenders, and prosecutors, and their family members. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". In early October, Barnes launched a "Ron Against Roe" tour of Wisconsin to highlight Johnson's longtime support for national abortion bans. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case. But Johnson got a majority of support from voters who thought COVID-19 restrictions in the state were too strict. Through late October, super PACs, politically active nonprofit organizations, and other non-candidate groups combined to spend an additional $112.9 million advocating for or against the candidates. ", "And if anybody wants predictions, my advice would be just flip a coin and you've got a 50/50 chance of being right," Lee said. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Lt. Gov. The CBS News/YouGov poll was released on Sunday. C-SPAN, an acronym for Cable-Satellite Public Affairs Network, is an American cable television network that offers coverage of federal government proceedings and other public affairs programming via its three television channels (C-SPAN, C-SPAN2 and C-SPAN3), one radio station and a group of. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. 2023 FOX News Network, LLC. Lt. Gov. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . Poll: Ron Johnson widens lead over Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate race The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with. His campaign focused heavily on promises to protect abortion rights and Social Security benefits. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. A new poll released Wednesday by Marquette University Law School shows 49 percent of voters support Johnson's reelection to a third term. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same. Republicans have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates on crime in recent weeks, while Democrats see abortion rights as an issue that will energize their base in November. It occurred concurrently with a Senate election in the state, elections to the state's U.S. House seats, and various other elections.Incumbent Republican Governor Scott Walker sought re-election to a third term, and was challenged by Democratic candidate and then-Superintendent of Public Instruction Tony Evers, as well . MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Republican gubernatorial nominee Tim Michels led Democratic Gov. The AP called the race after Johnson claimed his win earlier in the morning and other national media outlets such as NBC News,CBS News, and CNN projected Johnson would win. The Marquette Law School survey has Johnson racking up support of 52 percent of likely voters compared with Barnes 46 percent. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. IE 11 is not supported. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. Tony Evers 50% to 47%, the AARP Wisconsin . Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Marquette polled 801 registered voters via phone interviews from Oct. 3-9 (652 of those are considered likely voters), with more than half of the interviews coming before last Friday's debate. On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. / CBS News. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. The Republican incumbent had a slight lead in the closing weeks of the campaign, with a CBS News poll from October showing him with a one-point lead over Barnes, though other polls showed Johnson with a larger lead. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Most young women are not. 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